# What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in August 2026?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Forecast at</th><td>2026-08-01 08:18 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Source</th><td>Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament</td></tr>
<tr><th>Engine</th><td>fast</td></tr>
<tr><th>P10</th><td>3.963</td></tr>
<tr><th>P50 (median)</th><td><strong>4.251</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>P90</th><td>4.446</td></tr>
</table>

*This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the [Metaculus AI Benchmark](https://www.metaculus.com/aib/) tournament. [View the question on Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44796/).*