# How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Forecast at</th><td>2026-09-30 14:07 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Source</th><td>Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament</td></tr>
<tr><th>Engine</th><td>ensemble</td></tr>
<tr><th>0</th><td>68.7%</td></tr>
<tr><th>1</th><td>22.2%</td></tr>
<tr><th>2</th><td>6.1%</td></tr>
<tr><th>3 or more</th><td>3.0%</td></tr>
</table>

*This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the [Metaculus AI Benchmark](https://www.metaculus.com/aib/) tournament. [View the question on Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/45845/).*