# Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-08-03 09:28 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>87.8%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>83.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="44522933213133836295465044502627273231171405474481535680154929620497320551807">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election has moved to a runoff between incumbent Robert Luna and his predecessor, Alex Villanueva. This contest represents a rematch of the previous general election, establishing a clear two-candidate field for the November 3, 2026, ballot. Public reporting from the Dailynews and the Latimes confirms that both candidates advanced following the primary election held on June 2, 2026. Analysis of this race incorporates both public electoral data and undisclosed sources to assess the current political landscape. The historical context of their previous head-to-head matchup serves as a primary indicator for the upcoming vote.

## Key Evidence

No head-to-head runoff polling exists.

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