# Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-08-25 09:15 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>27.0%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>10.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="66476206293190640232110125280708850890548270395268595586311052182580927928491">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

Lorenzo Pazolini, the current Mayor of Vitória, is officially confirmed as one of five candidates competing for the governorship of Espírito Santo in the 2026 election. Recent polling data from organizations such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest indicates that Pazolini is currently positioned in a technical tie within the broader field of candidates. While he maintains a notable public profile, the electoral landscape remains competitive with an incumbent governor also in the race. Analysis of his prospects incorporates both these public survey results and undisclosed proprietary signals regarding voter sentiment. The final outcome will be determined in the scheduled October 2026 election, with the possibility of a second-round runoff if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

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