The Oracle · Polymarket
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31?
Predicted · Resolved
Analysis
The spread (52-82%) comes from different weighting of Assembly vote passage probability and court warrant issuance likelihood. Evidence is specific and verifiable but the conclusion is already well-priced by the market.
Provenance
This analysis is timestamped via OpenTimestamps — anchored in Bitcoin block 957898 — proving it existed before the outcome was known.
SHA-256: 233e9e3ad2a3d974fdbd4feaa387831bca0cec12f965ebb7d4b96f94f367d922
Download content.md · Download .ots proof
Verification needs both files: confirm the text’s hash with
sha256sum content.md, then check the proof
against it — drag both into opentimestamps.org
or run ots verify content.md.ots locally.
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