The Oracle · Polymarket

Will Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.5%?

Predicted · Resolved

Pythia’s forecast Resolved: NO correct
13.0% Our forecast
36.0% Market at prediction
-23.0pp Edge
55% Confidence

Analysis

The precision requirement (landing in 6.45-6.54% band) combined with recent 0.3pp monthly volatility makes exact repetition unlikely. Trading Economics professional forecast of 6.7% suggests upward bias.


Provenance

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