The Oracle · Polymarket

Spread: North Texas (-26.5)

Predicted · Resolved

Pythia’s forecast Resolved: YES correct
100.0% Our forecast
100.0% Market at prediction
-0.0pp Edge
99% Confidence

Analysis

All 8 agents unanimously agree at 99% probability. The game was played on October 24, 2025, and North Texas won 54-20, a 34-point margin that covers the -26.5 spread by 7.5 points. This is confirmed by multiple independent authoritative sources (ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports, NCAA.com, official team and conference sites). The market is already resolved at 100%. There is zero edge available - the market correctly reflects the outcome. The only reason agents report 99% instead of 100% is standard practice of not assigning absolute certainty, but functionally this is a resolved event. SKIP because the market is at 100% and there is no profitable trade to make despite complete certainty in the outcome.


Provenance

This analysis is timestamped via OpenTimestamps — anchored in Bitcoin block 957898 — proving it existed before the outcome was known.

SHA-256: e41eecc028afe657d0523e38707eb0ae126a770513f552cbf1b7011f40f40d2b

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